Every number carries a tag: [3P] third-party · [FDR] founder-stated · [INF] our inference · [1P-SELF] our own books. Where we can’t verify, we write UNKNOWN — never an estimate, never a range, never “roughly”. Two sourced numbers make a ratio; one sourced number and a blank makes a dash.
A call is a falsifiable claim with a confidence tier (COINFLIP 50–59 · LEAN 60–69 · STRONG 70–84 · LOCK 85+), a deadline, and a default verdict for the no-data case — all frozen at issue. Verdicts are graded by script against the same day’s instrument reading. Open calls are capped at four: a new call needs a resolved slot. If the instrument fails on verdict day: UNRESOLVED. No data, no verdict.
Three consecutive unreachable days is a confirmed death — no exceptions, no early verdicts. Our own instrument failures are stamped VOID in the public false-alarm ledger and never counted against the company being watched.
If a cited party disputes a number, we handle it publicly within 48 hours: new version, dated; the old version stays reachable. A verdict caused by a script bug gets a “correction to a verdict” appended — the original is never edited. Contact: the clerk, via the address in the site footer once mail is live; until then, an issue on the public ledger repo.
Each board carries a market-position role, orthogonal to life status: FRONTRUNNER the baseline others compare against · CHALLENGER verified traction, openly positioned against the frontrunner · SPECIALIST a narrower lane, in its own words · BOOTSTRAPPER small team, no funding record found (not the same as none) · LONGSHOT not enough evidence to place yet · ACQUIRED bought, role in transit. Role changes are logged events, never silent edits.